I have an idea for a post but lack the math skills to do it.The idea is can we awnser the question Does good defense exist? This may seem obviously true, but I wonder if the data actually show that good defense exists.Consider all the in depth statistical analysis on this and other cites about how the hot hand does not exist. The big truth from that data, as I understand it, is that the results of any given shot are in no way correlated with the result of the shot before.Accepting that this is what the data tells us doesn’t that mean that the common belief that lock down defenders exist is wrong? If lock defenders were real they should show up in the data and they would show up by creating a correlation where misses follow misses.likewise, if bad defenders exist, then you would expect the data to show a correlation where makes to follow makes maybe defense does not matter in predicting wins because defense does not actually exist? (or rather field goal % defense would not exist, ending possession defense through rebounds and steals could still exist and not show up in the shooting data )I am surely overstating this, but it seems a logical conclusion I would be thrilled to see an off-season post either supporting or refuting this.Here is the limit of my math skill imagine a season of 2 games, one against a lock down defender where a player goes 2-10, and one against a bad defender where the player goes 8-10. This player would expect [(7×8/9)+(2×1/9)]/10 = 64% of makes to follow makes and convserly for 64% of their misses to follow misses. I did not want to clutter one of your existing threads with this ridiculous hypothesis, but did not see an email us here’ option
Una idea sobre “Doogee F3 Pro reconocimiento de voz”
I have an idea for a post but lack the math skills to do it.The idea is can we awnser the question Does good defense exist? This may seem obviously true, but I wonder if the data actually show that good defense exists.Consider all the in depth statistical analysis on this and other cites about how the hot hand does not exist. The big truth from that data, as I understand it, is that the results of any given shot are in no way correlated with the result of the shot before.Accepting that this is what the data tells us doesn’t that mean that the common belief that lock down defenders exist is wrong? If lock defenders were real they should show up in the data and they would show up by creating a correlation where misses follow misses.likewise, if bad defenders exist, then you would expect the data to show a correlation where makes to follow makes maybe defense does not matter in predicting wins because defense does not actually exist? (or rather field goal % defense would not exist, ending possession defense through rebounds and steals could still exist and not show up in the shooting data )I am surely overstating this, but it seems a logical conclusion I would be thrilled to see an off-season post either supporting or refuting this.Here is the limit of my math skill imagine a season of 2 games, one against a lock down defender where a player goes 2-10, and one against a bad defender where the player goes 8-10. This player would expect [(7×8/9)+(2×1/9)]/10 = 64% of makes to follow makes and convserly for 64% of their misses to follow misses. I did not want to clutter one of your existing threads with this ridiculous hypothesis, but did not see an email us here’ option